Cutting Edge Newsletter™ October 2006Business Briefing
Pop Goes the Bubble
The ‘Plight’ of the Middle?
by Art Raymond, araymond@raymondnet.com
The Federal Reserve Board provided further worry with their data on the average amount of owner’s equity in real estate. This year, homeowners’ average equity is running at 56 percent of the value of his/her home. This metric has fallen drastically from 81 percent in 1951 to 69 percent in 1981 and 58 percent in 2001. On the bright side, the high level of cash-out mortgage refinancing that was reported over the last five years apparently eroded homeowners’ equity less than expected. The importance of the housing market to the wood products industry goes without saying. Cabinet and flooring sales have fallen steeply in the last three months. Furniture at retail is flat at best. Keep your eye on just how far the housing market drops. In spite of the struggling housing market, middle class America is doing well. Compared to 25 years ago, 13 percent more families are earning over $100,000 annually and the number of households making less than $75,000 has fallen by 14 percent. Both numbers are adjusted for inflation. In 1960, the average family spent a full one-quarter of their income on food versus only one-eighth today (and half of that amount is spent on dining out). Median net worth has risen to $90,000 in 2004 from $70,000 in 1989. Inventories of steel are piling up in warehouses around the U.S. putting downward pressure on prices.
Steel service centers, who account for about 30 percent of steel sold in the U.S., say that inventories are at their highest level since early 2005. Imports are up 40 percent from a year ago and on pace to pass the 1998 record. Add to that supply the 9.4 percent rise in domestic steel production Automakers Ford, Chrysler and others are cutting domestic production. With the housing market cooling, appliance producers may add to that manufacturing decline. Good news for machinery makers and industrial builders may be bad news for U.S. industry overall. The Importance of Knowledge Creation Intuitively, research and development is an important contributor to the wellness of the U.S. economy. Now, statisticians can measure that contribution and see its relative importance. Heretofore, R&D has been considered an intermediate expense like labor rather than a capital investment. Using the new method, knowledge creation contributed 7 percent of the growth experienced between 1995 and 2002. Also treating R&D as an investment makes the U.S. economy about 3 percent larger and, importantly, the national savings rate about 2 percentage points higher. China apparently has long recognized the importance of R&D. Spending on knowledge creation has been growing at 17 percent over the past 12 years versus 4-5 percent in the U.S., Europe, and Japan. As a result China’s share of global R&D is projected at 14.8 percent in 2007 versus 12.7 percent in 2005. America’s share will slip to 31.9 percent from 32.7 percent last year. Roughly 60 percent of U.S. R&D spending comes from the private sector. Of the world’s top five R&D spenders, four are American – Pfizer, Ford, Microsoft and General Motors. As management guru Peter Drucker said, “Production is not the application of tools to materials but logic to work.” Developing and honing that logic for commercial purposes is what industrial R&D is all about. The continuing health of our manufacturing sector depends on it. Economic Factoid Kitchen Cabinets At the cabinetmakers…
Home Furniture Domestic producers are experiencing a very weak retail demand for their products…
Meanwhile more plant closures and restructurings were announced by other U.S. producers…
Office Furniture BIFMA reported that August orders grew by 3 percent and shipments by 12 percent. This relatively weak showing versus late 2005/early 2006 has analysts concerned that growth in this sector may be moderating or, at worst, stalling. In spite of this inconsistent recent performance, analysts are encouraged by the strength of the primary drivers of demand – corporate profits, service employment, and non-residential construction. At the company level…
Wood Flooring August 2006 shipments of strip flooring declined to 41.6 million square feet, down 11 percent compared with the same month in 2005. Year to date the industry has shipped 340.8 million square feet, a 1 percent decrease for the first seven months of 2006. Hardwood Sawmilling With domestic sales of hardwood lumber steady at best, export markets have become a key to profitability for U.S. hardwood mills. Thankfully, according to Hardwood Review hardwood exports are on track to a record year of 1.36 billion board feet. Primary markets include China, Southeast Asia, Europe, Saudi Arabia, and Canada. Softwood Sawmilling Following the downturn in home building, softwood lumber prices have fallen to their lowest level in five years. The price of framing lumber is now $274 per thousand board feet versus $401 a year ago. In response, many of the larger producers have ceased production at some mills. Weyerhaeuser has indefinitely suspended production at two mills in Saskatchewan, Canada, and is forecasting an 8 percent decline in lumber sales. Louisiana-Pacific has shut down a mill in Quebec. Public PolicyVOTEBy John Satagaj, email@jsatlaw.com
We urge you to consider educating your employees about the impact on your workplace of various issues and motivating them to vote. I know this is not a simple task, but anything we can do to help employees understand "we are in this together" can only help. Your tax responsibilities are a logical place to start, but also legal costs, such as those created by product liability claims, environmental requirements and, these days, health care costs, are probably concerns you worry about every day. However, your employees may not connect these issues to the success of the company or to the future viability of their jobs. Anything you can do to educate them and to get them out to vote can help. If you are ambitious, there is time to organize a "get-out-the-vote" drive among your employees. In general, businesses are allowed, under federal law, to support or conduct federal voter registration drives (yes, in some states, you can register right up to Election Day!) and "get-out-the-vote" drives aimed at their employees under the following guidelines:
At the end of this article is a sample letter to your employees that the National Association of Manufacturers has provided. I am always amazed that members of Congress can get away with sending you a form letter when you write them to support or oppose legislation. Don't let them get away with it. Campaign promises are a dime a dozen. They have no currency because no one ever holds a candidate to their promises. There is no more telling example to me than the fact that you hardly hear any talk of anybody retiring because of their pledge to support term limits. When the campaign trail brings candidates to your neighborhood, ask the candidates where they stand on the issues of concern to you. There is no reason to settle for mediocrity. As a nation, we can do better and we should do better. Whatever your political persuasion, look the candidate in the eye and ask yourself if this is the person you want in Washington to represent you. SAMPLE LETTER Dear Fellow Employee: It's been said that if you want a job done right, you have to do it yourself. When it comes to voting, nothing could be more true. If we want to make sure our elected leaders do as we expect them to, it's up to each of us to go to the polls and exercise our civic responsibility. We believe in the democratic process and encourage our employees to vote in the upcoming election on November 7th. Voting is one of the most important rights and responsibilities we have as U.S. citizens. It is also our best chance to say how we want to be governed. I urge you to do your part on Election Day, Tuesday, November 7, 2006. Sincerely, [Insert any information on special leave that your company plans to offer on Election Day, or information on rides to polling places offered by non-partisan, non-profit organizations.] International Business DevelopmentLigna Space Sales Going Quickly With eight months remaining until the next LIGNA May 14-18, 2007 in Hannover, Germany, the organizers have received firm commitments for approximately 1.2 million square feet of net display area. This amounts to 88 percent of the 1.39 million square feet of total net space used for the event in 2005. Germany's furniture sector recently reported its best quarterly profit in eight years, with sales up roughly eight percent to EUR 4.4 billion. According to Dr. Bernhard Dirr, Managing Director of the German Woodworking Machinery Manufacturers' Association (VDMA), "The mood is now markedly upbeat, with orders over the first two quarters surging ahead at a surprising rate." As a reminder: Ligna is the world’s largest woodworking equipment fair held every odd year in Hanover, Germany. It is not just a European show, but a global platform for your company. If you are developing your international marketing plans Ligna is the ideal place to access the world market by attending or, as described below, taking advantage of the WMMA booth. If you are implementing your global marketing strategy, Ligna should be on your exhibition calendar. Please consider the following WMMA marketing programs. A. The WMMA has requested 30 square meters of exhibit space in Hall 12. By the end of October, we should be receiving a space offer. Like in 2005, members can share the booth for $200 plus co-exhibitor fees charged by the organizers (co-exhibitor charge: euros 370.00 plus media charge: euros 75.00 = euros 445.00 plus VAT). The fees cover:
ACTION: B. In the past, Hannover Messe has accommodated the WMMA and members’ location requests, even to the extent of locating members next to one another if the exhibitors so chose. For 2007, we are asking the organizers to be located next to or at least proximate to other WMMA exhibitors in Hall 12, specifically, JL Taylor, Mereen-Johnson, Newman Machine or Wisconsin Knife Works. By locating proximate to other members, we would be in a position to, in effect create a “WMMA member area”. If as a group we can agree on a “theme” (for example red carpeting in all the booths, WMMA logo banners, buttons, badges, etc.), we may be able to enhance our group’s participation. If not, we still should be able to reap the benefits of being close to one another. This concept can be replicated in other halls if members choose. Go to www.ligna.de to learn more about Ligna 2007. If you have questions concerning the fair or the above you can contact Harold Zassenhaus or the organizer’s USA offices: Europe’s Energy-Using Product (EuP) Directive Now that WEEE and RoHS have been incorporated into to the European Union’s (EU) product conformance regime, i.e., the CE Mark, the EU is embarking on an additional directive, to be incorporated into the CE Mark, “to reduce the environmental impact of energy using products (EuP’s) contributing to sustainable development and security of energy supply within the EU while ensuring the free movement of products.” The EuP will set technical standards and eco-design requirements for all electrical, electronic and other energy-using devices, except transportation vehicles and cover all energy sources.
In theory, the directive could have a wide ranging impact as it could cover any energy using product and parts used or intended to be used in EuP’s. However, the directive’s scope is narrowed (so far) to include only those products which represent a significant volume of sales and trade – more than 200,000 units per year within the EU and have a significant environmental impact and present a significant potential for improvement without entailing excessive costs. The EU Commission expects to ratify implementing measures by September 2008, at which time it will be up to member states to ratify national legislation. By next July, the EU Commission will establish a 3-year list of priority product groups. In the interim, the Commission will begin working on a set of 14 product categories to include personal computers and monitors, imaging equipment, battery chargers and external power supplies, motors, pumps, fans and circulators. Members that incorporate these type products in their equipment exported to the EU should become acquainted with the regulatory requirements and the time-line for implementation. For more information, go to the EuP web page on the European Commissions website: http://ec.europa.eu/enterprise/eco_design/index_en.htm. After reading the introduction, click on “related activities” found on the left hand side of the page to learn more about the EUP framework for developing implementing legislation. Final Reminder: The WMMA Providing Free Subscription to US and Foreign Country Trade Statistics This service, tailored to your specific needs, is available to you directly - FREE! This member benefit will enable you to easily track custom developed equipment and/or wood product trade flows so you can better market and sell abroad and be aware of trends that are impacting your activity in the US. However, the offer expires at the end of this year. So, act now to access customized trade data. See the February 06 Cutting Edge for details. Manufacturing StrategiesThe Case for Metalworking Skill Standards American industry will only be competitive if we all work smarter and we employ individuals with more highly developed skills. What Are Metalworking Skill Standards? They are defined common skills and competencies that the metalworking industry has determined a worker needs to perform well on the job. As benchmarks for performance, these standards are continuously updated using industry feedback by employers, workers, and educators in the metalworking industry. There are over 20 specific sets of skill standards designed to fit into four broad industry areas. The four areas are:
As today’s marketplace ratchets toward higher quality requirements, skill standards work as:
Everyone in our industry can benefit from using the Metalworking Skill Standards. In fact, rewards for participation only multiply as more employers, educators, and workers join in the system. The following are just a few of the tangible payoffs:
For Information, contact: Mr. Steve Mandes, Executive Director, NIMS, 3251 Old Lee Highway Fairfax, VA, 22030 PH: 703-352-4971 FX: 703-352-4997 or visit the NIMS – National Institute for Metalworking Skills Web site at www.nims-skills.org. Association BenefitsEcoChats from ITR – Another WMMA Member Benefit What if you could stay current with what is really happening in the US economy by listening to a CD? Even better, what about multi-tasking, listening while driving to and from work?
The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), publishers of WMMA’s Quarterly Economic Outlook Report, has launched a new report format – EcoChat. EcoChats is produced quarterly in CD format. Subscribers to EcoChat can listen in on an informal meeting of the ITR economists as they talk about important issues relating to the economy and business. This new format allows ITR to respond to many questions that arise from what is reported in the news. To listen to samples of EcoChats, click here. These forty-five minute conversations cover a wide range of timely economic topics on issues that directly impact your business. Each edition provided an overview of the US economy and a view of what is coming over the next 3-4 quarters. In addition there are specific discussion about topics such as energy costs, the impact of China's growing economy on the US, the truth about the housing 'bubble', what industries have potential in the future and what does the rest of this decade look like for US businesses? An audio sample of EcoChats is available on the WMMA website for your convenience. These quarterly CD's are available in the months of March, June, September and December. Sign up today! Association NewsJames L. Taylor Manufacturing Co. Website Awarded Standard of Excellence by Web Marketing Association The James L. Taylor Manufacturing Company website has been awarded a Standard of Excellence award by the Web Marketing Associations 2006 WebAward program. JLT Manufacturing Co. recently worked with SVM E-business Solutions to redesign their website. This WebAward recognizes the standard of excellence for which all Web sites should strive. To learn more about SVM and what they are doing for WMMA, click here.The Web Marketing Association was founded in 1997 to help set a high standard for Internet marketing and web development on the World Wide Web. Staffed by volunteers, this organization is made up of Internet marketing, online advertising, PR, and web site design professionals who share an interest in improving the quality of online advertising, internet marketing, and website promotion. The Web Marketing Association is the producer of the WebAward Competition. Now in its 10th year, the WebAwards is the premier annual web site award competition that names the best Web sites in 96 industries while setting the standard of excellence for all website development.
The NFPA 79 Committee (Electrical Equipment of Industrial Machinery) announces a new version of the NFPA 79 Standard. The 2007 edition of NFPA 79 has two changes that may be of interest to WMMA members.
The standard is also available as an American National Standard. Summer Internship with Safety Speed Cut The following article was written by Ian Johnson, an undergraduate M.E. student at the University of Wisconsin. Ian is a recipient of a WMMA scholarship and recently completed a summer internship with WMMA member company Safety Speed Cut. Several other WMMA members have benefited from the scholarship program by hosting interns this summer. If you are interested in utilizing this unique program, contact Molly Pappas at mpappas@fernley.com.
Over the last three months, working for Safety Speed Cut has been a great experience and opportunity for me. I have been able to work on a few different projects during the summer, such as: process documentation, trouble shooting documenting, exploded views of products, and sales. The majority of my work was doing process documentation for all the equipment made by Safety Speed Cut. Process documentation included spending time in the shop to learn how a specific machine was manufactured and assembled, making sure to take notes and pictures of all the steps. After I knew how a machine or part was made, I would write a process for it. All the processes were written in a way that could be used as a means for new employees to learn a process; pictures were linked to steps that were important or complicated. Writing these processes was advantageous for me because it gave me an idea of what goes into a manufacturing process, also reinforcing the fact that every detail is important. I was also able to give some of my input on the manufacturing processes used by Safety Speed Cut. This all will be beneficial for me going into manufacturing engineering because it gave me experience writing a process in a professional format and working with manufacturing processes. I also worked with building troubleshooting documents to help customers that may be having issues. In doing this, I worked with the technical person that helped most customers who were having problems with machines. As I worked with him, I found out the most common questions that customers had with machines and how these problems were resolved. After learning how to solve the problems, I wrote a troubleshooting instruction manual. This could be sent out to a customer, or used by a Safety Speed Cut employee as a set of guidelines to begin assisting a customer with these kinds of needs. One of the last things that I worked on was making an exploded parts list of a couple of the machines. Making these lists included: taking pictures of the entire machine, pointing out every part used on the machine, and linking it to a part description and number. From this, I learned how to create a parts diagram that is fast and easy to make, yet very effective and efficient in showing all the parts in the product. Lastly, I assisted in some sales and customer service, which included taking phone calls from customers while in the office. Most of the calls that I answered were support calls or technical questions about the machines. In doing this, I learned how to explain technical information to a consumer over the phone, and how to work with people that need help with adjusting or changing some part of their machine. Safety Speed Cut also gave me the opportunity to go to the IWF trade show with them, which was a wonderful experience for me. While I was at IWF I looked at some other companies’ exhibits, which gave me a chance to see some of the other products that are used in the woodworking industry. This opened my eyes to how large the woodworking industry really is in the U.S. This experience has sparked my interest in the woodworking industry much more then it ever had in the past. I was very interested and excited to see how all the new technology is being utilized in such an old trade. Most of my time at the exhibit was spent working the Safety Speed Cut booth; I spoke with customers, dealers, and potential customers. This was a good experience for me, because I learned how to talk to customers and how to show someone the ways a cretin product would fit their needs and increase their productivity. As a manufacturing engineer, I think that talking to people about how productivity could be increased is a very good skill. It also teaches me to see how to increase productivity in things that I will do. I have been talking with Safety Speed Cut about doing some work over the course of this winter. Safety Speed Cut has talked to me about doing some product testing and development, as well as some technical drawings for them. I am very excited to possibly be continuing my work with Safety Speed Cut. Testing the products will be a good experience for me because it will give me a chance to set up an experiment and run all my own tests. Doing some technical drawing will also really help me. I have taken classes on working with CAD drafting but this will let me put some of the knowledge I have gained into real use. Putting the things that I have learned in school into a real world setting is a great way for me to see how to use the information I have learned and apply it to different projects and situations. My internship with Safety Speed Cut has been a wonderful and exciting learning experience for me. It has taught me how things in the real world are manufactured, and some of the issues that arise during manufacturing, which are not mentioned in textbooks. I gained experience in working with people in an office setting and working with people in a shop setting. This will help me relate the two different areas in the future. Working this summer has also taught me how to write a process in a way that is accurate, efficient, and able to be understood by all people that are going to read it. I am very happy with how people were willing to work with me and teach me about the woodworking industry. All the Safety Speed Cut employees were very nice and helpful with anything that I needed. This has been an experience that will be very important in the rest of my academic career and professional career. The experience that I gained while working for Safety Speed Cut is irreplaceable and will always be appreciated and never forgotten. My thanks to Safety Speed Cut for giving me this opportunity it was a wonderful experience as a student. 16th Annual Woodworking Industry Conference The 16th Annual Woodworking Industry Conference will be held April 25-28, 2007 and is the premier forum for education and networking. Attending the WIC '07 at the Renaissance Vinoy Hotel in St. Petersburg, FL, is the right choice for your business. WMMA's Public Policy Fly-In: Save the Date! WMMA will hold its annual Public Policy Fly-In on February 14, 2007 in Washington, D.C.The Fly-In will be preceded by two days of WMMA Board and Committee meetings on February 12th & 13th. Make your voice heard on Capitol Hill as you lobby for the positive future of U.S. manufacturing. Mark your calendar today to attend one of WMMA's most influential events! |
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| ©2006 by Wood Machinery Manufacturers of America, Philadelphia, PA. All rights reserved.
This publication or any parts of it may not be reproduced in any form without written permission from the publisher. For permission to reprint articles or to send correspondence, write to: WMMA, 100 North 20th Street, 4th Floor, Philadelphia, PA 19103-1443, Phone: (215) 564-3484. Fax: (215) 963-9785. E-mail: wmma@fernley.com. The opinion expressed in any articles by outside consultants are their own views and not necessarily those of the WMMA. |
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