Cutting Edge Newsletter™ April 2006ATTENTION - ALL WMMA MEMBERS EXHIBITING AT IWF 2006!
The May 2006 deadline for payment is rapidly approaching. If you have not already submitted your third payment to IWF, do so now – don’t lose out on this fantastic opportunity to benefit from your membership in WMMA! Visit www.iwf2006.com for details. Business BriefingBeyond The Furniture DeficitBy Art Raymond, araymond@raymondnet.com
But, given the vast forest resources in the U.S., what about the foreign trade status of other wood and forest products? By and large, with few exceptions, the U.S. imports far more wood and forest products than we export. Chart 1 shows the dollar value of wood and forest products exports and imports, excluding furniture and cabinets since 1996.
These data include important product categories such as logs; lumber; veneers; panel boards like MDF, particleboard, and OSB; moulding; flooring; windows and doors; poles; and ties. In 1997, the forest products trade deficit was $5.67 billion. Last year, the deficit rose to $18 billion. Exports, nearly $7.2 billion in 1997, fell to $4.96 billion in 2002, before rising steadily to $5.85 billion last year. Interestingly, this three-year recovery involved all of the product categories with the exception of pulpwood, hardwood chips, OSB, particleboard and hardwood moulding. Leading export categories included logs and hardwood lumber – products that have low labor contents. Let’s look at the trade situation in some important hardwood sectors:
What about higher labor content products?
The largest share of the forest and wood products trade deficit belongs to Canada. Shipments of Canadian products accounted for $12.26 billion or 68% of our 2005 deficit. Nearly 53% of their trade surplus comes from softwood lumber sales, much of which followed the decimation of the lumber industry in the U.S. Pacific Northwest during the 90’s. China’s share of our deficit comes to 10.3% or $1.85 billion (not including wood furniture). Chinese shipments have grown from $340 million in 1997 to $2.32 billion last year. Mexico, well positioned by geography and NAFTA, has seen its exports to the U.S. decline from nearly $440 million in 1997 to $339 million last year. As a result, the U.S. is now running a trade surplus with Mexico in forest and wood products (not including furniture). Bottom Line: The trend is clear. Many countries with low labor costs and access to competitively-priced wood have grown their shipments to the U.S. market by 86% since 1997. Add wood furniture into this equation, and the results worsen. The only products with a trade surplus are hardwood logs and lumber, and the lumber surplus is declining. Keep your eyes on the trade situation in the cabinet sector for signs of strengthening imports of parts and assembled units. Economic Factoid According to insurance consultants Tillinghast, the cost of the U.S. tort system is $260 billion, about equal to the annual sales of Wal-Mart and 2.25% of gross domestic product. For every man, woman and child, the cost of compensating the injured and wronged runs $900. The Council of Economic Advisors claims that the U.S. system is the most expensive in the world, running more thanSector Report Kitchen Cabinets At the producers…
Home Furniture More Anti-Dumping News… Furniture makers in Germany and Italy are preparing to file anti-dumping complaints with the European Commission accusing China of selling upholstered products at unfairly low prices. The two countries account for over half of the EU’s furniture production. Retailers that rely on cheaper Asian imports are expected to fight this filing. U.S. companies that filed an anti-dumping claim against Chinese wood bedroom producers were awarded $144,159 in February as their share of the $116 million of import duties collected through October 2005. The 24 U.S. furniture producers also sought a further investigation of 56 Chinese companies that they claim are selling goods below cost. Additionally, the Department of Commerce is conducting an administrative review of the earlier anti-dumping duties. And finally, Congress has repealed the Byrd Amendment that distributed import duties collected as a result of anti-dumping actions to the U.S. manufacturers who supported the imposition of the tariffs. Since its inception in 2000, this law has paid out over $1.26 billion to companies in various industries claiming to be hurt by low-cost imports. Payments will end on October 1, 2007. Ashley No. 1… News among U.S. furniture producers remains mixed…
Office Furniture BIFMA reported that February orders increased by 10% and shipments grew 9% versus the same month in 2005. On a trailing twelve-month basis, orders grew 11% to $10.3 billion. Likewise, shipments jumped by 11.3% during the same period. At $10.2 billion, annual shipments are now about 21% higher than the market bottom of $8.47 billion in November 2003. Analysts expect some leveling off from the strong results experienced in late 2005 with growth rates moderating to 4.5%.
Wood Flooring February 2006 shipments of strip flooring rose by 9% compared with the same month in 2005. Year to date, the industry has shipped 7% more flooring than in the first two months of 2005. Public PolicyAffordable Health Care InsuranceBy John Satagaj, email@jsatlaw.com
I read a report the other day from the General Accounting Office (GAO) that confirms what we all know from first-hand experience. The GAO analyzed total compensation costs for employers for the last 15 years. After controlling for inflation, the average cost of total compensation (comprising wages and benefits) for employers grew by 12 percent between 1991 and 2005, but increases in benefit costs outpaced wages in the most recent years. The real costs (inflation-adjusted) of total benefits, which represented roughly a quarter of total compensation, grew by approximately 18 percent, while real wages grew by 10 percent. Wages and benefits increased by about the same percentage from 1991 to 2002, after which time wages began to stagnate and benefit costs continued to grow. In addition, since 2002 increases in benefit costs outpaced wages among all types of employers. The increase in the cost of a total benefits package from 1991 to 2005 was largely composed of increases in the cost of providing health insurance and retirement income. In combination with paid leave, these benefits comprised almost 60 percent of benefit packages. Paid leave had traditionally been the most costly benefit to employers, but by 2005, the cost of health insurance equaled that of paid leave. This occurred, in part, because health insurance costs, adjusted for inflation, grew by 28 percent since 1991, while the costs for paid leave grew by only five percent. Of the three benefits, retirement income was the least costly, even though it grew by an estimated 47 percent during the period, largely between 2003 and 2005. Some benefit cost increases were greater for certain types of employers and employees. While large establishments saw a 34 percent increase in health insurance costs between 1991 and 2005, medium-sized establishments saw an increase of 45 percent. One solution on the table is association health plans legislation. Last year, the House passed a bill to allow associations to offer health care insurance on a national scale without having to meet the mandated benefit standards of each state and without having to comply with state insurance regulations. The plans could also be self insured. The Senate has never been willing to go along and the “lead horse” in the Senate, Senator Mike Enzi (R-WY), indicated last year that he would try to pass a different bill to accomplish the same goal. Senator Enzi has secured his Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions Committee’s approval of his bill, S. 1955, the Health Insurance Marketplace Modernization and Affordability Act of 2005. Senator Enzi’s bill does not permit self insurance and keeps the states as the primary regulators. However, his bill does allow associations to offer health insurance without regard to any one state’s mandated benefits. As a condition, the association must offer one plan that offers as many benefits as one plan offered by one of the five most populous states (Texas, Illinois, Florida, California, or New York) to their own state employees. The "full benefits" plan must be offered, but the association also can offer other plans without all the benefits. On balance, it is hard to see how the Enzi approach would allow associations to compete since they would still have to deal with state regulation. The principal objection is that the plans will not provide appropriate coverage for the old, children, and/or will result in “two-tiered” pricing and rating. Many of the amendments offered by Democrats in committee were to require certain benefits be included in any plan offered by an association. Certainly, if one of the versions of this concept becomes law, that will be one of the challenges for any provider—offering the right mix of benefits and coverage with which employers and employees will be comfortable and still yield some price savings. While opponents suggest that employers will abandon all but the most essential benefits and coverage, it is hard to imagine employers will not be realistic in assessing what their employees need to feel comfortable with the level of health care coverage being offered. Most Democrats oppose Enzi's plan and it is hard to see how he is going to be able to clear the bill through the entire Senate. It will surely be the subject of a filibuster and thus require 60 votes. Many in the House feel that if he can secure a vote on any bill, they can improve upon the results in a conference committee. At the moment, it is the only health care reform game in town. SBLC Teleconference Reminder Small Business Legislative Council (SBLC) has brought back its’ public policy briefing telephone conference. It is an improved product and it is free! This is an opportunity for SBLC member association staff and member association members (e.g. board, public policy committee) to participate in a briefing by SBLC President John Satagaj on the hot small business topics of the day.
Upcoming teleconferences are scheduled for:
You have the option of deciding who participates. No need to RSVP. All we ask is that you bear in mind that we want to be as candid as we can so the information is useful. By participating in the teleconference, you agree not to record the presentation, nor to quote or attribute comments to speakers. Business Advisory Service: Another WMMA Member Benefit There are times when you just need a little more information before you make a decision impacting your company. Whether it is an employment matter, a tax matter or a general business concern, you would just like to have someone whom you trust to call and ask a simple question, or maybe just get pointed in the right direction.
WMMA® proudly offers this as a member benefit . You can now call the Law Offices of John Satagaj to ask that burning question, and – best of all – it will not cost you anything. That's right. This is a FREE WMMA® benefit. Most members of WMMA® are familiar with John Satagaj and his retired partner, Shelly London. John’s firm is the long-time Legislative Counsel for WMMA®. What you may not know is that John is a well known expert in various legal subjects which you might encounter every day in your business. John has a special Masters of Law degree in taxation and has advised IRS commissioners on business tax issues. He has provided information to thousands of business owners over the years on a vast array of topics. Moreover, he knows and understands the woodworking equipment, cutting tool, and supply industry. John will answer your questions, in confidence, on just about any topic. In the employment field, for example, it might be a question about the Family and Medical Leave Act, the Americans with Disabilities Act, the Age Discrimination in Employment Act, or how to handle termination decisions. This is INFORMATION SERVICE only. The Law Offices of John Satagaj cannot provide you with legal advice or counsel. It is not a substitute for your local advisors. They will NOT respond to emails or written inquiries for this service, but they are just a telephone call away. They can be reached at (202) 639-8888. Call The Law Offices of John Satagaj today with details about your particular question in the tax, H/R, legislative, regulatory, legal or general business fields. Take advantage of another great membership benefit from WMMA®. International Business DevelopmentUS Import and Export Trade Statistics: 2005 Reviewby Harold Zassenhaus, hzassenhaus@fernley.com
The following is a summary of major trends of US exports and imports for calendar year 2005. Statistics are reported for all woodworking equipment and its three component parts: machines, cutting tools and, accessories and parts. (WMMA members: to view detailed tables on US imports and exports of machinery, cutting tools and parts and accessories, by country, click here and scroll down to the spreadsheets listed under the heading “US Imports And Exports Of Woodworking Machinery, Cutting Tools And Accessories”. You will need your user name and password. If you don’t have one or forgot it, contact WMMA Headquarters at 215-564-3484 or wmma@fernley.com). Total Woodworking Equipment Market Imports from leading European suppliers continued their trend of increasing at a healthy rate. Germany in particular recorded a significant rise in shipments with imports increasing 19%. Equipment exports recorded robust growth during the fourth quarter pushing the year total to $323 million, a 9% increase over 2004. Canada continues to purchase over 40% of our exports, although its influence has steadily decreased over the past 3 years. Exports to Mexico grew a surprising 50% to $36 million in 2005. Australia and Germany rounded out the top four destination markets --- exports to Germany growing by a surprising 86% while shipments to Australia dropped by 23%. Machinery Trade Exports increased by a healthy 13% to $173 million boosted by shipment increases of 18% to Canada and 31% to Mexico, our 2 main markets. Exports to Germany, although low in dollar terms increased by 75%. Uruguay was also a major destination. However, the majority of exports were of used machinery. Cutting Tools Exports increased marginally for the year to $99 million. Canada still accounts for 50% of shipments. Parts & Accessories Imports continued the 2004 trend of recording double digit growth, rising 24% to $253 million. Imports from China continued to outpace all other major suppliers increasing 146% to $57 million. Imports from Germany, our 2nd largest supplier, rose 23% to $35 million. Shipments from Canada rose 16% to $34 million while imports from Israel, always a major supplier, reached $30 million. Opportunities to Explore and Enter the Vietnam Market The WMMA is organizing two events to assist you in understanding and entering the world’s fastest growing and 8th largest exporter of wooden furniture --- Vietnam.
1. WMMA Pavilion in VietnamWood 2006 2. Plant Tours/In-Country Briefings Opportunity to Exhibit in WMMA Pavilion: VietnamWood 2006, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam October 19-22, 2006 A principal activity of WMMA’s International Business Development Committee is organizing WMMA pavilions in some of the world’s best known international trade fairs, as well in regional shows that offer excellent opportunities for members. We are organizing a member pavilion in the above fair. The sign-up deadline is June 30th. Do not delay – space is limited! This unique exhibit service allows members to conserve costs and time, enhance exposure and gain support from fellow members and the WMMA staff. Exhibiting members services include:
In addition, the WMMA will have its’ own booth at VietnamWood at which it will be advertising members’ products and services. Members who want to share the booth can do so for $200. This entitles members to display literature, run product videos and/or work out of the booth. All participants will receive a summary of the event, a copy of the exhibition catalog and leads generated. Cost: The cost for a walk-on package*: $220.00/sq. meter, 9 sq. meter minimum. This amounts to a 20% discount. Members can increase their booth by multiples of 3 sq. meters. * Walk-on Package for a 3 x 3 meter booth includes:
How to Apply for Space: Complete space contract form found here or contact Harold Zassenhaus, WMMA Export Director, at (301) 652-0693, fax (215) 963-9785 or hzassenhaus@fernley.com. VietnamWood 2006, Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam, October 19-22, 2006 ** To see how the WMMA enhances exhibitors’ ability to attract visitors, click here to view designs of WMMA pavilions in past overseas fairs. Spotlight on Member BenefitsSVM's 2006 E-Business Trends in Manufacturing Report
Download the report to learn:
After you review this report, we are most interested in your feedback. Please feel free to contact David Smith with any questions or comments at 877-786-3249 or dsmith@svmsolutions.com. What if you could stay current with what is really happening in the US economy by listening to a CD? Even better, what about multi-tasking, listening while driving to and from work?
The Institute for Trend Research (ITR), publishers of the monthly economic report EcoTrends, have launched a new report format - EcoChat (click here for a sample). EcoChat is produced quarterly in CD format. Subscribers to EcoChat can listen in on an informal meeting of the ITR economists as they talk about important issues relating to the economy and business. This new format allows ITR to respond to many questions that arise from what is reported in the news. These forty-five minute conversations cover a wide range of timely economic topics on issues that directly impact your business. Each edition provided an overview of the US economy and a view of what is coming over the next 3-4 quarters. In addition there are specific discussion about topics such as energy costs, the impact of China's growing economy on the US, the truth about the housing 'bubble', what industries have potential in the future and what does the rest of this decade look like for US businesses? An audio sample of EcoChats is available on the WMMA website for your convenience. These quarterly CD's are available in the months of March, June, September and December. Association NewsWMMA Joins Treated Wood Council
New Member Benefit News Affecting Your International and US Markets Export Manual International Trade Fairs Global and US Trade Statistics US Imports and Exports of Woodworking Equipment International Distributors Directory Have Questions About Exporting? Link to WMMA’s Export
|
|||||||
| ©2006 by Wood Machinery Manufacturers of America, Philadelphia, PA. All rights reserved.
This publication or any parts of it may not be reproduced in any form without written permission from the publisher. For permission to reprint articles or to send correspondence, write to: WMMA, 100 North 20th Street, 4th Floor, Philadelphia, PA 19103-1443, Phone: (215) 564-3484. Fax: (215) 963-9785. E-mail: wmma@fernley.com. The opinion expressed in any articles by outside consultants are their own views and not necessarily those of the WMMA. |
|||||||